GLP-1 Weight Loss Progress Calculator - Mounjaro & Wegovy Timeline Estimator
Wondering how much weight you can lose on Mounjaro, Wegovy, or Ozempic? This calculator estimates your expected weight loss timeline based on clinical trial data from the SURMOUNT and STEP trials, your starting weight, and your current dose. Enter your details below for a personalised projection of your GLP-1 weight loss journey.
How Much Weight Can You Lose on Mounjaro?
Mounjaro (tirzepatide) is a dual GIP/GLP-1 receptor agonist that has shown the most impressive weight loss results of any currently approved medication. In the landmark SURMOUNT-1 clinical trial, participants without diabetes who received the highest dose (15 mg) lost an average of 22.5% of their body weight over 72 weeks. Even the lowest tested dose (5 mg) produced an average of 15% body weight reduction.
To put that in practical terms: a person starting at 100 kg on the maximum dose could expect to lose roughly 20-22 kg over 18 months. Weight loss is not linear, however. The first few weeks at the starting dose of 2.5 mg typically produce modest losses of 1-2 kg per month, with the rate accelerating significantly as doses are titrated upward every four weeks. Most people see their fastest rate of weight loss between months 3 and 9, with the curve beginning to plateau as they approach their final weight.
The SURMOUNT-2 trial in people with type 2 diabetes showed slightly lower but still remarkable results, with average weight loss of 14.7% at the 15 mg dose. These results established Mounjaro as the most effective weight loss medication currently available.
How Much Weight Can You Lose on Wegovy?
Wegovy (semaglutide 2.4 mg) is a GLP-1 receptor agonist that was the first medication in its class approved specifically for weight management. The STEP clinical trial programme demonstrated that participants on the maintenance dose of 2.4 mg lost an average of approximately 15% of their body weight over 68 weeks.
For a 100 kg person, this translates to roughly 15 kg of weight loss. Like Mounjaro, Wegovy follows a gradual dose-escalation schedule: starting at 0.25 mg weekly and increasing every four weeks to reach the full 2.4 mg dose over 16-20 weeks. Weight loss begins during the escalation phase and continues to accelerate once the maintenance dose is reached. Most participants in STEP trials achieved the bulk of their weight loss between weeks 12 and 52, with the rate slowing as they approached the 68-week mark.
Mounjaro vs Wegovy: Weight Loss Comparison
Both Mounjaro and Wegovy are effective GLP-1 medications for weight loss, but their clinical trial data reveals meaningful differences in efficacy, mechanism, and dose schedules.
| Factor | Mounjaro (tirzepatide) | Wegovy (semaglutide) | Ozempic (semaglutide) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mechanism | Dual GIP/GLP-1 | GLP-1 only | GLP-1 only |
| Avg. weight loss | 20-22% (max dose) | ~15% (max dose) | ~12% (max dose) |
| Trial duration | 72 weeks (SURMOUNT) | 68 weeks (STEP) | 68 weeks (STEP) |
| Max dose | 15 mg weekly | 2.4 mg weekly | 2 mg weekly |
| Dose escalation | 5 dose levels | 5 dose levels | 4 dose levels |
| Primary approval | Weight loss + T2D | Weight loss | Type 2 diabetes |
When Do You Start Seeing Results on GLP-1?
Understanding the typical timeline of GLP-1 weight loss helps set realistic expectations. Here is what most people experience at each stage:
- Week 1-2: Appetite suppression begins. Most people notice reduced hunger and earlier satiety (feeling full faster). Scale weight may drop 0.5-1 kg due to reduced food intake.
- Week 2-4: Consistent early weight loss. Food noise (constant thoughts about food) typically diminishes significantly. Some gastrointestinal side effects may occur as the body adjusts.
- Week 4-8: Facial changes begin. As the first 3-5% of body weight comes off, face slimming becomes noticeable, particularly around the jawline, cheeks, and under the chin. This is often the first visible change others notice.
- Month 2-4: Dose escalation continues and weight loss accelerates. Clothing begins to fit differently. The 5% body weight milestone is typically reached during this period.
- Month 3-6: Pronounced facial changes and visible body contour improvements. This is when many people notice the most dramatic visual transformation. Body composition changes become clearly visible, particularly around the waist, hips, and upper arms.
- Month 6-12: Weight loss continues at a gradually slowing rate. The 10-15% body weight loss milestone is typically reached. Skin may begin to adapt to the new body shape.
- Month 12-18: Weight loss approaches its plateau. On Mounjaro, total losses of 20%+ are common at this stage. Body composition may continue to improve even as scale weight stabilises.
How GLP-1 Changes Your Face and Body Over Time
One of the most striking aspects of GLP-1 weight loss is how it changes your appearance beyond just the number on the scales. Understanding these visual changes helps you appreciate your progress and stay motivated through the journey.
Face slimming is typically the first visible change. Fat loss around the buccal fat pads (cheeks), submental area (under the chin), and along the jawline creates a more defined facial structure. Most people begin noticing these changes between weeks 4 and 8, with the most pronounced changes visible between months 3 and 6. This is why tracking your face over time with consistent selfies or a tool like SKOR reveals changes you might not notice day to day.
Body contour changes follow facial slimming and typically become visible from month 3 onward. Visceral fat (around the organs) is often the first to reduce, leading to measurable waist circumference changes even before the mirror shows dramatic differences. Subcutaneous fat loss in the arms, thighs, and hips becomes visible from months 4-6.
Skin quality can both improve and face challenges during rapid weight loss. Reduced inflammation from lower body weight and improved metabolic health often leads to clearer, brighter skin. However, skin laxity (loose skin) can become a concern with losses above 15-20% body weight, particularly for those over 40 or who have carried excess weight for many years.
SKOR tracks all of these dimensions - Face Slimming, Skin Quality, Body Composition, and more - giving you an objective, AI-powered score for each metric so you can see exactly what is changing week by week.
Frequently Asked Questions
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Last updated: 22 March 2026